5x Prob
11.1%
Entry / Current
$118.64+28.5%
Market Cap
$3.73B
Goldilox
90.3
Catalyst
88
Social
74.4
Technical
91.4
Earnings
25.8
Value
100
Current June edition of our asymmetric AI infrastructure bets. Ranked by calibrated probability, with Goldilox upside and small-base asymmetry acting as hard gates before a name can make the list.
Very low-probability, high-convexity trades. These are venture-like bets in public markets. Size positions accordingly — risk capital only. This list skews smaller and more volatile, with binary thesis outcomes that could drive explosive growth or significant losses.
| Rank | Stock | 5x Prob | Entry / Current | Market Cap | Goldilox | Catalyst | Social | Technical | Earnings | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 | AEHR Aehr Test Systems | 11.1% | $118.64+28.5% Entry: $92.33 | $3.73B | 90.3 | 88 | 74.4 | 91.4 | 25.8 | 100 |
#2 | ALMU Aeluma, Inc. | 8.7% | $24.55+13.8% Entry: $21.58 | $449.4M | 88.5 | 69 | 85.5 | 60.1 | 35.2 | 88 |
#3 | PATH UiPath, Inc. | 7.3% | $10.82-7.7% Entry: $11.72 | $5.61B | 69 | 67 | 92.6 | 37.8 | 57.3 | 95 |
#4 | APLD Applied Digital Corporation | 7.2% | $46.62-1.4% Entry: $47.28 | $13.32B | 77.7 | 85 | 86.6 | 68.8 | 65.7 | 85 |
#5 | IREN IREN Limited | 6.8% | $62.02-2.4% Entry: $63.54 | $22.16B | 69.3 | 80 | 81.1 | 64.7 | 34.3 | 65 |
#6 | SEI Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. | 6.6% | $78.82+13.3% Entry: $69.54 | $7.36B | 70 | 82 | 83.4 | 63.5 | 56.8 | 95 |
#7 | AXTI AXT, Inc. | 6.5% | $114.38+10.9% Entry: $103.16 | $7.48B | 62.3 | 78 | 81.3 | 91.9 | 45.6 | 95 |
#8 | AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | 5.7% | $192.22+21.3% Entry: $158.41 | $15.42B | 69 | 77 | 89 | 81.2 | 44.5 | 85 |
#9 | CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | 5.3% | $257.56+9.1% Entry: $236.03 | $47.51B | 68.2 | 82 | 71.4 | 71.6 | 97.1 | 42 |
#10 | AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. | 5.0% | $85.77+23.3% Entry: $69.56 | $21.26B | 73.1 | 71 | 71 | 70.8 | 55.6 | 65 |
Binary outcomes: Each pick represents a specific thesis with massive upside if correct, significant downside if wrong. Position sizing is critical — never more than 2-3% portfolio weight per pick.These are 2-5 year holds where patience and conviction matter more than timing.
Each moonshot has a detailed thesis with specific catalysts and timeline. Click any ticker to see our bull case, bear case, and quant-score analysis.