5x Prob
11.1%
Entry / Current
$92.330%
Market Cap
$2.9B
Goldilox
90.3
Catalyst
88
Social
74.4
Technical
91.4
Earnings
25.8
Value
100
Current June edition of our asymmetric AI infrastructure bets. Ranked by calibrated probability, with Goldilox upside and small-base asymmetry acting as hard gates before a name can make the list.
Very low-probability, high-convexity trades. These are venture-like bets in public markets. Size positions accordingly — risk capital only. This list skews smaller and more volatile, with binary thesis outcomes that could drive explosive growth or significant losses.
| Rank | Stock | 5x Prob | Entry / Current | Market Cap | Goldilox | Catalyst | Social | Technical | Earnings | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 | AEHR Aehr Test Systems | 11.1% | $92.330% Entry: $92.33 | $2.9B | 90.3 | 88 | 74.4 | 91.4 | 25.8 | 100 |
#2 | ALMU Aeluma, Inc. | 8.7% | $21.580% Entry: $21.58 | $395.0M | 88.5 | 69 | 85.5 | 60.1 | 35.2 | 88 |
#3 | PATH UiPath, Inc. | 7.3% | $11.720% Entry: $11.72 | $6.1B | 69 | 67 | 92.6 | 37.8 | 57.3 | 95 |
#4 | APLD Applied Digital Corporation | 7.2% | $47.280% Entry: $47.28 | $13.5B | 77.7 | 85 | 86.6 | 68.8 | 65.7 | 85 |
#5 | IREN IREN Limited | 6.8% | $63.540% Entry: $63.54 | $22.7B | 69.3 | 80 | 81.1 | 64.7 | 34.3 | 65 |
#6 | SEI Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. | 6.6% | $69.540% Entry: $69.54 | $6.5B | 70 | 82 | 83.4 | 63.5 | 56.8 | 95 |
#7 | AXTI AXT, Inc. | 6.5% | $103.160% Entry: $103.16 | $6.7B | 62.3 | 78 | 81.3 | 91.9 | 45.6 | 95 |
#8 | AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | 5.7% | $158.410% Entry: $158.41 | $12.7B | 69 | 77 | 89 | 81.2 | 44.5 | 85 |
#9 | CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | 5.3% | $236.030% Entry: $236.03 | $43.5B | 68.2 | 82 | 71.4 | 71.6 | 97.1 | 42 |
#10 | AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. | 5.0% | $69.560% Entry: $69.56 | $17.2B | 73.1 | 71 | 71 | 70.8 | 55.6 | 65 |
Binary outcomes: Each pick represents a specific thesis with massive upside if correct, significant downside if wrong. Position sizing is critical — never more than 2-3% portfolio weight per pick.These are 2-5 year holds where patience and conviction matter more than timing.
Each moonshot has a detailed thesis with specific catalysts and timeline. Click any ticker to see our bull case, bear case, and quant-score analysis.