Upside RanksStocksDELL

Dell Technologies Inc.

Latest active analysis · May 2026
Scoring glossary →
Current Price:$202.000%Entry: $202.00
Market Cap:$131.3B

Latest List Rankings

+35% List
Month:May 2026
Rank:#4
Probability:38.2%

Current Synopsis

Dell is no longer just a PC/server cyclical; it is becoming one of the cleanest picks-and-shovels ways to monetize AI factory buildouts outside the GPU vendors. FY26 revenue hit a record $113.5B, up 19%, with Q4 revenue of $33.4B, up 39%. The core inflection is Infrastructure Solutions Group: FY26 ISG revenue rose 40% to $60.8B, and Q4 ISG revenue rose 73% to $19.6B. AI-optimized servers were the swing factor, with Q4 revenue of $9.0B, up 342%, and FY26 AI server revenue of $24.7B, up 166%. Management said Dell closed more than $64B of AI-optimized server orders in FY26, shipped more than $25B, and entered FY27 with a record $43B backlog. With FY27 guidance calling for $140B revenue at the midpoint and roughly $50B of AI server revenue, Dell’s upside case is backlog conversion and operating leverage.

Current Pillar Scores

Value Gap71.4/100

Traditional PC vendor multiples despite business model transformation to higher-margin AI infrastructure systems integration.

Earnings Momentum75/100

Strong AI solutions backlog conversion with margin improvement as enterprise AI infrastructure spending accelerates beyond cloud-only deployments.

Catalyst Edge78/100

May +35% refresh: Dell’s catalyst is visible backlog converting into revenue: $43B of AI server backlog plus FY27 guidance for roughly $50B in AI-optimized server revenue. If AI server deployments broaden from hyperscalers into enterprises, sovereign AI, and private AI clouds, Dell can keep compounding ISG faster than the legacy PC multiple implies.

Technical Setup100/100

DELL at $168 trades above both the 50-day ($137) and 200-day ($133) moving averages with strong uptrend intact. Stock is 10% below its 52-week high of $186 — healthy pullback.

Social Momentum50.1/100

May refresh uses the real BRRR Buzz Score engine, not the fallback volume proxy. Current Buzz Score: 50.1/100, built from Google 32.5; Reddit 65.3; Wikipedia 50.0; Options 70.0; Short interest 40.0. Divergence read: Buzz falling (50) but price up (+9.2%) = EXHAUSTION.

Goldilox Upside24.5/100

The Goldilox setup is AI demand strong enough to fill the backlog, but not so overheated that margins collapse. A +35% path comes from FY27 revenue/EPS guidance proving credible, AI server orders refilling after shipments, ISG operating income scaling, and investors valuing Dell closer to an AI infrastructure integrator than a low-growth hardware vendor.

Current Path to Target

+35% List Target

The Goldilox setup is AI demand strong enough to fill the backlog, but not so overheated that margins collapse. A +35% path comes from FY27 revenue/EPS guidance proving credible, AI server orders refilling after shipments, ISG operating income scaling, and investors valuing Dell closer to an AI infrastructure integrator than a low-growth hardware vendor.

Current Key Risk

AI server deals can be large, lumpy, competitive, and margin-sensitive. Dell’s 10-K notes pricing pressure, working-capital needs, component commitments, credit/payment-term risk, and inventory risk if large AI orders are delayed or canceled.

Current Key Metrics

FY26 revenue
$113.5B, +19% YoY
Q4 FY26 revenue
$33.4B, +39% YoY
FY26 net income
$5.94B; Q4 net income $2.26B
FY26 diluted EPS
$8.68; non-GAAP diluted EPS $10.30
FY26 operating cash flow
$11.2B
ISG FY26 revenue
$60.8B, +40%; ISG operating income $7.1B, +27%
Q4 AI-optimized server revenue
$9.0B, +342%; FY26 AI server revenue $24.7B, +166%
FY27 guidance
$138B-$142B revenue; ~$50B AI server revenue; non-GAAP EPS midpoint $12.90
Sources
Dell FY26 Q4 earnings 8-K exhibit; Dell FY26 10-K
Track record

BRRR Appearance History

Current analysis stays canonical. This is the compact scoreboard of where the name has shown up across monthly BRRR lists.

Apps3
Months2
Best rank#3
Best prob39.9%
MonthMay 2026
List+35% List
Rank#4
Prob38.2%
MonthApril 2026
List+35% List
Rank#6
Prob39.9%
MonthApril 2026
List2x List
Rank#3
Prob12.4%

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