NVIDIA Corporation
Latest List Rankings
Current Synopsis
NVIDIA is still the cleanest way to own the AI compute bottleneck. It controls the accelerator, networking, software, and system layer that hyperscalers need to scale training and inference. The stock is no longer cheap discovery — it is a revision story. The +35% case depends on Blackwell/Rubin demand staying ahead of supply, inference broadening the revenue base, and margins holding up even with China data-center compute excluded from guidance.
Current Pillar Scores
+35% model: valuation sanity is 68.8/100, supported by EV/sales 20.0x, FCF yield 0.9%, gross margin 74.1%, profit margin 63.0%.
The earnings/growth score is driven by reported fundamentals, not narrative. revenue growth 85.2%, earnings growth 214.5%, gross margin 74.1%, operating margin 65.6%, profit margin 63.0%, FCF margin 18.3%. Component support: growth consistency 99.1.
NVIDIA scores as the core AI bottleneck because it sits at the center of accelerated compute: GPUs, networking, systems software, and inference optimization. The catalyst is continued evidence that AI factories are expanding faster than supply can respond. The counterweight is scale: at more than $5T of market cap, the thesis needs fresh revisions, not merely confirmation that NVIDIA is dominant.
Technical setup comes from price action, not opinion: 20-day return 6.4%, 60-day return 15.2%, 120-day return 15.8%, 60-day relative strength vs QQQ -6.2%, 1-year max drawdown -20.2%, distance from 52-week high -10.7%, 60-day annualized volatility 35.8%. Above 50dma: True; above 200dma: True.
For June this pillar is better read as options/positioning confirmation, not social-media fluff. ATM implied volatility 48.4%, call/put OI 1.6, call/put volume 1.5, OTM call OI share 57.2%, short % float 1.3%, short ratio 1.9. Component support: options confirmation 89.5.
The Goldilox math is straightforward: roughly $5.11T today versus a $6.90T bull-case market cap, or about 1.35x. That fits the +35% list, not the moonshot lists. The path is continued earnings revisions from Blackwell/Rubin, broader inference demand, durable margins, and no major capex digestion scare.
Current Path to Target
+35% is plausible if Blackwell/Rubin demand keeps exceeding supply, Q2 guidance proves conservative, inference revenue broadens beyond training clusters, and the market keeps raising out-year earnings estimates. This is a high-quality, high-expectation setup: the stock needs continued upside revisions, not just another strong quarter.
Current Key Risk
The risk is not that NVIDIA is a weak business; it is that expectations are already enormous. A pause in hyperscaler capex, China restrictions, custom ASIC substitution, or margin compression could make even great execution insufficient for another +35% move.
Current Key Metrics
BRRR Appearance History
Current analysis stays canonical. This is the compact scoreboard of where the name has shown up across monthly BRRR lists.
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