Upside RanksStocksOKLO

Oklo Inc.

Latest active analysis · May 2026
Scoring glossary →
Current Price:$68.000%Entry: $68.00
Market Cap:$11.8B

Latest List Rankings

5x List
Month:May 2026
Rank:#6
Probability:6.6%

Current Synopsis

Oklo is not trying to sell nuclear reactors the old way. Its wedge is a vertically integrated powerhouse model: own and operate compact fast-reactor assets, sell long-duration clean baseload power directly to hyperscalers, industrials, utilities, and defense-adjacent customers, then eventually close the loop with recycled nuclear fuel. That makes OKLO less like a reactor vendor and more like a nuclear IP plus power developer with embedded fuel optionality. The story is still pre-revenue and highly execution-dependent, but the mechanism is clear: if Aurora units move from DOE/NRC milestones into repeatable deployments, Oklo could convert nuclear scarcity into contracted power cash flows. The key signal is not AI power hype; it is whether Oklo can sequence fuel access, licensing, first-of-a-kind construction, and customer contracts into a repeatable template.

Current Pillar Scores

Value Gap57.1/100

The setup still offers a favorable risk/reward versus consensus if the nuclear power thesis keeps working.

Earnings Momentum50/100

AI-linked power scarcity increases willingness to fund advanced nuclear

Catalyst Edge65/100

May refresh: OKLO has one of the strongest narrative-criticality profiles but remains pre-revenue. Aurora is designed for 15-75 MWe with potential to scale to 100 MWe+. Oklo has a DOE site-use permit at Idaho National Laboratory and a fuel award of five metric tons of HALEU for a commercial Aurora powerhouse in Idaho. It disclosed a 12 GW Master Power Agreement with Switch, plus non-binding LOIs with Equinix, Diamondback, and Prometheus Hyperscale. The Tennessee advanced fuel center roadmap could involve up to $1.68B of investment and 800+ jobs, with NRC pre-application engagement.

Technical Setup15/100

Current setup is based on the May refresh using live price, beta, and volatility inputs. Beta 0.94 and annualized volatility 107.2% influence the more aggressive tiers.

Social Momentum61.5/100

May refresh uses the real BRRR Buzz Score engine, not the fallback volume proxy. Current Buzz Score: 61.5/100, built from Google 50.0; Reddit 90.0; Wikipedia 50.0; Options 70.0; Short interest 40.0. Divergence read: Buzz + price both rising = MOMENTUM.

Goldilox Upside90.3/100

At roughly $12.4B market cap, a 5x implies $60B+ equity value. That is aggressive for a pre-revenue company, but the path is not reactor hype — it is contracted nuclear power capacity repricing. If even a portion of the 12 GW Switch framework plus hyperscaler LOIs converts into bankable PPAs, Oklo can shift from speculative reactor developer to scarce baseload power platform. The 5x case requires evidence that first units can be licensed, fueled, financed, and replicated.

Current Path to Target

5x List Target

At roughly $12.4B market cap, a 5x implies $60B+ equity value. That is aggressive for a pre-revenue company, but the path is not reactor hype — it is contracted nuclear power capacity repricing. If even a portion of the 12 GW Switch framework plus hyperscaler LOIs converts into bankable PPAs, Oklo can shift from speculative reactor developer to scarce baseload power platform. The 5x case requires evidence that first units can be licensed, fueled, financed, and replicated.

Current Key Risk

First-of-a-kind execution. Licensing, construction, fuel availability, and cost overruns can all slip at once while the company has no commercial operating revenue.

Current Key Metrics

Price / Market Cap
~$71.49 / ~$12.4B
52-week range
$24.44-$193.84
Revenue status
pre-commercial / no operating revenue
2025 net loss
$105.7M
TTM EPS
-$0.72
Forward EPS estimate
-$0.91
Operating cash burn
$82.2M in 2025
Cash, equivalents, and marketable debt securities
$1.4125B at Dec. 31, 2025
Aurora design range
15-75 MWe, possible 100 MWe+ scale
Switch framework
12 GW Master Power Agreement
Sources
Oklo 2025 10-K; Oklo Apr. 2026 filing; Yahoo Finance quote data
Track record

BRRR Appearance History

Current analysis stays canonical. This is the compact scoreboard of where the name has shown up across monthly BRRR lists.

Apps1
Months1
Best rank#6
Best prob6.6%
MonthMay 2026
List5x List
Rank#6
Prob6.6%

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