Upside RanksStocksSEI

Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.

Latest active analysis · June 2026
Scoring glossary →
Entry / Current:$69.540%
Market Cap:$6.5B

Latest List Rankings

2x List
Month:June 2026
Rank:#2
Probability:13.2%
5x List
Month:June 2026
Rank:#6
Probability:6.6%

Current Synopsis

Solaris is an AI power bottleneck trade, not a traditional tech stock. The core idea is that hyperscale data centers need power faster than the grid can deliver it, and Solaris can provide modular behind-the-meter generation and electrical infrastructure. The 2x case depends on converting contracted gigawatts into visible, recurring, high-margin EBITDA without balance-sheet or execution surprises.

Current Pillar Scores

Value Gap95/100

2x model: valuation-to-growth is 82.7/100 with convexity 80.5/100; that means the score is rewarding growth-adjusted asymmetry, not cheapness in isolation. 5x model: market-cap asymmetry is 95.0/100 at roughly $6.5B current market cap, which is why size matters more here than business quality alone.

Earnings Momentum84.2/100

The earnings/growth score is driven by reported fundamentals, not narrative. revenue growth 55.3%, earnings growth 127.2%, gross margin 46.9%, operating margin 25.8%, profit margin 6.7%, FCF margin -91.2%. Component support: growth acceleration 84.2, survivability 28.1.

Catalyst Edge82/100

SEI's catalyst is the power constraint. If AI data-center growth is limited by interconnection queues and grid delays, modular behind-the-meter power becomes strategically valuable. The thesis is compelling because it attacks a real bottleneck, but it is less clean than semis because execution, financing, and project risk matter as much as demand.

Technical Setup68.2/100

Technical setup comes from price action, not opinion: 20-day return -3.9%, 60-day return 38.2%, 120-day return 26.2%, 60-day relative strength vs QQQ 16.8%, 1-year max drawdown -26.4%, distance from 52-week high -14.4%, 60-day annualized volatility 66.3%. Above 50dma: True; above 200dma: True.

Social Momentum83.4/100

For June this pillar is better read as options/positioning confirmation, not social-media fluff. ATM implied volatility 85.9%, call/put OI 2.2, call/put volume 6.7, OTM call OI share 59.9%, short % float 21.8%, short ratio 5.2. Component support: options asymmetry 77.4, squeeze bonus 0.0.

Goldilox Upside70/100

The Goldilox math is roughly $6.5B current market cap versus a $13.0B bull case, or about 2.0x. That supports a strong 2x thesis. The 5x case needs a different outcome: Solaris becoming a scaled AI-campus power platform rather than a project-by-project infrastructure supplier.

Current Path to Target

2x List Target

A 2x requires Solaris to prove that the hyperscaler pipeline is real, financeable, and profitable. The market needs evidence that contracted power capacity converts into durable EBITDA, not just headline gigawatts.

5x List Target

The 5x case is venture-style: Solaris would need to become a scaled distributed-power platform for AI campuses. That requires flawless execution, repeat hyperscaler demand, and no balance-sheet stress while capacity ramps.

Current Key Risk

This is execution-heavy. Large power projects can slip, cost more than expected, or produce lower margins than modeled. Debt-funded growth, hyperscaler concentration, and legacy oilfield exposure make the story messier than a clean semiconductor pick.

Current Key Metrics

June quant market cap
$6.5B
Goldilox bull market cap
$13.0B
Normalized Goldilox multiple
2.0x
AI thesis / Catalyst Edge
88 / 82
BRRR list placement
2x rank #24 (quant score 72.3), 5x rank #11 (quant score 68.8)
Primary drivers
Signed third long-term power contract on April 24, 2026 for over 600 MW with an affiliate of an investment-grade global technology company for 10 years plus a 5-year extension option.; Company says Stateline JV plus two other investment-grade global technology customer contracts total over 2 GW of contracted generation capacity and associated balance-of-plant equipment.; Previously announced 900 MW of incremental power generation capacity expected between 2026 and 2029, bringing pro forma generation capacity to 3,100 MW.
Cut conditions
Q2 or Q3 EBITDA materially misses guidance without a timing-only explanation.; A hyperscaler deployment slips meaningfully or a material contract is suspended, downsized, or renegotiated.
Track record

BRRR Appearance History

Current analysis stays canonical. This is the compact scoreboard of where the name has shown up across monthly BRRR lists.

Apps6
Months3
Best rank#2
Best prob32.8%
MonthJune 2026
List2x List
Rank#2
Probability13.2%
MonthJune 2026
List5x List
Rank#6
Probability6.6%
MonthMay 2026
List+35% List
Rank#9
Probability32.8%
MonthMay 2026
List2x List
Rank#2
Probability13.2%
MonthMay 2026
List5x List
Rank#2
Probability8.7%
MonthApril 2026
List5x List
Rank#5
Probability4.0%

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