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Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.

Latest active analysis · May 2026
Scoring glossary →
Current Price:$74.210%Entry: $74.21
Market Cap:$6.9B

Latest List Rankings

+35% List
Month:May 2026
Rank:#9
Probability:32.8%
2x List
Month:May 2026
Rank:#2
Probability:13.2%
5x List
Month:May 2026
Rank:#2
Probability:8.7%

Current Synopsis

Solaris Energy Infrastructure is becoming a picks-and-shovels power bottleneck play for AI data centers. The legacy oilfield logistics business gives it field execution DNA, but the upside case now sits in modular, behind-the-meter power generation, control, distribution, and balance-of-plant scope for hyperscale customers that cannot wait years for grid upgrades. SEI’s April update sharpened the story: Q1 revenue hit roughly $196M, adjusted EBITDA reached about $84M, and the company signed a third long-term contract to provide 600+ MW of power capacity to an affiliate of an investment-grade global technology company. The mechanism is time-to-power. Solaris is buying turbine slots and distributed generation capacity that are scarce in the current AI buildout, then packaging them into multi-year contracted power solutions.

Current Pillar Scores

Value Gap72.9/100

The setup still offers a favorable risk/reward versus consensus if the cooling thermal thesis keeps working.

Earnings Momentum85/100

Strong revenue growth from core energy services business, though AI infrastructure applications remain speculative.

Catalyst Edge75/100

May refresh: SEI now qualifies for the 5x list because the official April release validated the AI data-center power thesis. The company signed a 600+ MW, 10-year contract, with a 5-year extension option, beginning late 2026 and scaling through 2028. In March, Solaris added 900 MW of natural-gas turbine capacity through the Genco acquisition and turbine delivery slots, bringing expected pro forma generation capacity to 3,100 MW by end-2029. Q1 showed operating leverage: revenue of ~$196M, adjusted EBITDA of ~$84M, and Power Solutions adjusted EBITDA of ~$72M, up 34% sequentially.

Technical Setup60/100

SEI at $56 trades above both the 50-day ($54) and 200-day ($44) moving averages with strong uptrend intact. Stock is 21% below its 52-week high of $70 — meaningful correction.

Social Momentum50.5/100

May refresh uses the real BRRR Buzz Score engine, not the fallback volume proxy. Current Buzz Score: 50.5/100, built from Google 50.0; Reddit 40.0; Wikipedia 50.0; Options 70.0; Short interest 50.0. Divergence read: Buzz falling (50) but price up (+9.2%) = EXHAUSTION.

Goldilox Upside67.8/100

The 5x path requires Solaris to prove it is not a cyclical oilfield-services stock with an AI wrapper, but a scarce distributed-power platform with contracted, data-center-grade cash flows. The path is: lock up scarce turbines, deploy capacity on schedule, convert more of the 3.1 GW pipeline into 10-year contracts, and sustain high EBITDA per MW. If quarterly EBITDA in the $80-95M range becomes a stepping stone rather than peak-cycle earnings, SEI can rerate toward mission-critical infrastructure/platform multiples.

Current Path to Target

2x List Target

The doubling path depends on the market underwriting a stronger AI demand regime plus clean execution. Goldilox bull cap: $40.0B (5.79x current).

5x List Target

The 5x path requires Solaris to prove it is not a cyclical oilfield-services stock with an AI wrapper, but a scarce distributed-power platform with contracted, data-center-grade cash flows. The path is: lock up scarce turbines, deploy capacity on schedule, convert more of the 3.1 GW pipeline into 10-year contracts, and sustain high EBITDA per MW. If quarterly EBITDA in the $80-95M range becomes a stepping stone rather than peak-cycle earnings, SEI can rerate toward mission-critical infrastructure/platform multiples.

Current Key Risk

Capital intensity and execution. SEI is assuming debt, issuing shares, and committing major capex to secure turbine capacity; deployment delays, customer deferrals, gas/emissions costs, or tighter financing could pressure equity despite strong headline demand.

Current Key Metrics

Price / Market Cap
~$75.13 / ~$5.38B intraday Apr. 30, 2026
Q1 2026 revenue
~$196M, up 9% sequentially
Q1 net income
$32M
Q1 diluted EPS
$0.32
TTM EPS
~$0.84
Q1 adjusted EBITDA
~$84M, up 22% sequentially
Power Solutions
~$129M Q1 revenue; ~$72M segment adjusted EBITDA, up 34% sequentially
New contract
600+ MW, 10-year term, 5-year extension option, deployment late 2026-2028
Generation capacity
pro forma 3,100 MW by end-2029 after 900 MW expansion
Sources
Solaris Apr. 27 2026 results release; Solaris SEC filings; Nasdaq/StockTitan contract coverage; Yahoo Finance / StockAnalysis quote data
Track record

BRRR Appearance History

Current analysis stays canonical. This is the compact scoreboard of where the name has shown up across monthly BRRR lists.

Apps4
Months2
Best rank#2
Best prob32.8%
MonthMay 2026
List+35% List
Rank#9
Prob32.8%
MonthMay 2026
List2x List
Rank#2
Prob13.2%
MonthMay 2026
List5x List
Rank#2
Prob8.7%
MonthApril 2026
List5x List
Rank#5
Prob4.0%

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